VfL Herzlake vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
BSV
3 - 3
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
HER
3 - 1
ISC
63%
20%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
CEL
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
HER
1 - 2
ADF
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
AHA
3 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
LUB
3 - 2
EBT
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
HAN
5 - 1
LUB
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
LUB
0 - 0
VFB
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
LUB
1 - 4
KFC
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ENO
1 - 1
LUB
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |