VfL Herzlake vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ISC
0 - 1
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
LUN
0 - 0
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1994 |
HER
3 - 3
BSV
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
HAM
1 - 1
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1994 |
HER
2 - 0
COH
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
HOL
0 - 0
EBT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
BSV
2 - 1
HOL
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
HOL
1 - 1
COH
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
VFB
2 - 1
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
HOL
2 - 0
OSC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |