VfL Herzlake vs Concordia Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
VFB
0 - 2
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
HER
3 - 1
OSC
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
WSV
3 - 0
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1994 |
HER
1 - 0
WER
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
TSH
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1994 |
COH
1 - 1
EBT
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1994 |
BSV
1 - 0
COH
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1994 |
COH
1 - 2
HAM
52%
24%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
LUN
2 - 4
COH
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
VFB
1 - 0
COH
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |