VfL Herzlake vs TuS Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
LUN
0 - 2
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
BSV
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1997 |
HER
1 - 3
COH
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
ADF
4 - 2
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
HER
1 - 3
WER
49%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
CEL
0 - 2
BSV
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
COH
0 - 0
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
CEL
3 - 0
STP
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
WSV
3 - 2
CEL
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 4
EBT
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |