VfL Halle vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
65.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
16º
14º
35
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Halle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
VFL
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
5 - 1
LFC
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
2 - 4
MAG
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
VFL
78%
13%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
EWD
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
FSV
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 4
BUD
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 2
EIN
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 2
BUD
19%
18%
63%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 6
SGD
7%
16%
78%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |