VfL Bremen vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
3 - 3
BLU
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OSC
0 - 0
VFL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
2 - 0
WUL
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HAB
1 - 2
VFL
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VFL
4 - 0
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 9
WER
8%
13%
79%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 4
BRE
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BLU
8 - 1
MEL
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
TUR
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OSC
2 - 0
MEL
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |