VfL Bremen vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 0
VFL
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VFL
0 - 3
SCH
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VFL
0 - 2
BRI
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
WER
1 - 0
VFL
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VFL
2 - 2
GRO
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 6
WER
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 5
OSC
12%
18%
71%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OST
1 - 0
MEL
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 3
BLU
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |