VfL Bremen vs Burg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VFL
1 - 1
TUR
48%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 2
VFL
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VFL
0 - 5
SGA
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
WUL
1 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VFL
1 - 4
BUR
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 7
BRE
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
BUR
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
SPA
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 4
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 7
UNI
25%
22%
52%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |