VfL Bremen vs Burg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
VFL
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VFL
6 - 1
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BLU
2 - 3
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VFL
0 - 4
BRI
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VFL
90%
7%
2%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 4
FCB
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OSC
4 - 0
BUR
71%
16%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 5
WER
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HAB
2 - 1
BUR
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
4 - 0
TUR
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |