Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
78.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenstein-Ernstthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RFC
0 - 2
VFL
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 0
LEU
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
KMA
2 - 1
VFL
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
3 - 2
RCH
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
VFL
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BSG
7 - 0
VFP
96%
4%
1%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FCL
7 - 0
BSG
5%
11%
84%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -4 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BSG
1 - 1
VEG
94%
5%
2%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SVG
2 - 2
BSG
6%
11%
83%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BSG
1 - 0
VBZ
96%
4%
1%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |