Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenstein-Ernstthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VFL
0 - 1
SVG
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VPC
0 - 2
VFL
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VFL
6 - 0
BSF
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
SGT
3 - 1
VFL
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VFL
0 - 0
KMA
67%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BSG
4 - 3
GWG
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SVG
1 - 3
BSG
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BSG
3 - 1
VPC
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BSF
1 - 4
BSG
11%
19%
69%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BSG
2 - 2
SGT
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |