Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs BSC Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenstein-Ernstthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SVG
3 - 1
VFL
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 3
VPC
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BSF
4 - 3
VFL
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
VFL
4 - 0
SGT
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
KMA
3 - 0
VFL
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
BSC Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 2
HEI
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
RFC
2 - 1
BSF
47%
23%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BSF
4 - 3
VFL
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BSG
5 - 1
BSF
89%
9%
2%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BSF
1 - 4
SVG
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |