VfB Zwenkau vs BSC Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Zwenkau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VFL
4 - 3
VBZ
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VBZ
0 - 2
SGT
25%
21%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RFC
0 - 0
VBZ
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BSC Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BSF
3 - 2
FCL
10%
16%
75%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 2
BSG
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 0
BSF
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
BSF
2 - 2
HEI
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
RFC
2 - 1
BSF
47%
23%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |