Speldorf vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 4
SPE
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 6
BER
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VIK
6 - 0
SPE
78%
14%
7%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HUL
1 - 1
SPE
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
KFC
45%
24%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
VFB
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
SCH
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BER
6 - 0
VFB
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 4
HUL
35%
25%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |