Speldorf vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ESS
1 - 0
SPE
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 4
SPR
73%
18%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 0
KLE
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 1
SPE
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPE
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MSV
4 - 2
GEW
25%
24%
50%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
MSV
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 2
ABI
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HUL
1 - 1
MSV
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |