VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
18º
9º
10
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 68 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 66 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 62 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 44 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 41 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 40 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 2
MEP
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 0
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 3
BSV
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 1
VFB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 2
OTT
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WER
3 - 4
BWL
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
5 - 1
WER
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 3
WER
25%
21%
54%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WER
1 - 1
EIN
70%
17%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAV
4 - 3
WER
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |