VfB Oldenburg vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
VFB
0 - 2
RTV
31%
23%
45%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
BAY
3 - 2
VFB
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
VFB
0 - 6
S04
21%
20%
60%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VFB
2 - 6
KOL
15%
17%
68%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 4
VFB
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |