VfB Oldenburg vs Mainz 05 analysis

VfB Oldenburg Mainz 05
49 ELO 70
6.6% Tilt 19.4%
2977º General ELO ranking 130º
81º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
18.1%
VfB Oldenburg
24.2%
Draw
57.7%
Mainz 05

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
VfB Oldenburg
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Oldenburg
-26%
+10%
Mainz 05

ELO progression

VfB Oldenburg
Mainz 05
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1997
KFC
KFC Uerdingen 05
1 - 0
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
78%
15%
7%
49 71 22 0
16 Mar. 1997
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
1 - 0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
23%
27%
50%
47 66 19 +2
09 Mar. 1997
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
5 - 0
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
75%
16%
9%
48 61 13 -1
02 Mar. 1997
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
1 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
22%
26%
52%
49 69 20 -1
23 Feb. 1997
MEP
SV Meppen
2 - 1
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
75%
17%
8%
49 73 24 0

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 1997
M05
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
22%
25%
52%
70 85 15 0
14 Mar. 1997
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
0 - 2
Mainz 05
M05
27%
26%
47%
70 56 14 0
07 Mar. 1997
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 0
Gutersloh
GUT
62%
21%
17%
69 62 7 +1
01 Mar. 1997
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
40%
27%
34%
70 65 5 -1
24 Feb. 1997
M05
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
55%
24%
21%
71 69 2 -1