VfB Oldenburg vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
18º
15º
19
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 1
HAV
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 1
VFB
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
JED
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
VFB
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 3
DRO
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 1
EIN
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
BSV
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 4
OTT
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |