Marburg vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BHE
2 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
ESC
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 4
VIK
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAU
0 - 0
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
BAU
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
HUN
1 - 1
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 2
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 2
VEL
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VEL
5 - 1
BUC
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |