Marburg vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SCN
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
VIK
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
EWM
0 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
KKA
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
FUL
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
VEL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 0
FSV
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +6 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
EWM
3 - 0
VEL
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BUC
1 - 0
VEL
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VEL
4 - 0
BAU
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |