Marburg vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CFR
5 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 3
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
SVB
41%
24%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOH
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
LOH
2 - 1
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 4
VFB
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
CFR
1 - 1
VEL
49%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 4
FSV
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 2
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |