Marburg vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
BHE
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
WAL
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GOR
4 - 5
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
EIN
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 0
BAU
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WOR
2 - 4
GOR
46%
25%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
WOR
2 - 2
FRA
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VIK
1 - 1
WOR
80%
15%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 2
KKA
38%
25%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |