Marburg vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SWM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SVB
2 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
FSV
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
BAU
1 - 1
WOR
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
WOR
2 - 3
FSV
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 0
KKA
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BUC
2 - 0
WOR
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |