Marburg vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
JUG
2 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
FSV
4 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 2
FUL
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
EDE
0 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIK
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
WOR
1 - 1
ERZ
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |