Marburg vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
3 - 3
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 3
BUC
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
KKA
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
GOR
0 - 3
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ERZ
3 - 1
FVB
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
BAU
0 - 4
ERZ
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FUL
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BRA
0 - 0
ERZ
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
VIK
1 - 5
ERZ
17%
22%
62%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |