Marburg vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOH
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SGW
2 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
FVB
4 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 3
SGH
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
VFB
3 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
VIK
3 - 2
SVB
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SVB
1 - 2
BAU
23%
25%
52%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
SVB
0 - 3
KKA
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SCN
5 - 1
SVB
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
SVB
1 - 4
CFR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |