Marburg vs Adler Weidenhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
13º
50
8º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EDD
3 - 2
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 4
FER
34%
22%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
STE
2 - 4
MAR
51%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
MAR
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
HSC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Adler Weidenhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 0
VIK
42%
22%
37%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EDD
1 - 2
SVA
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 2
BAU
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 3
GIE
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SVA
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |