Marburg vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
HUN
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
URB
2 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRA
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
5 - 2
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WAL
0 - 2
URB
71%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 5
WAL
25%
23%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 4
ESC
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 2
WAL
17%
20%
64%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 2
BAU
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |