Marburg vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
6 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
SWM
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
3 - 1
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HUN
0 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
URB
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
URB
1 - 3
WUR
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 1
WUR
56%
22%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 2
ESC
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
6 - 0
WUR
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
WUR
2 - 3
BAU
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |