Marburg vs Lohfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SGW
2 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
FVB
4 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 3
SGH
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
VFB
3 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
BHE
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
LOH
3 - 0
FRA
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LOH
0 - 2
CFR
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 2
LOH
40%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
SGW
0 - 1
LOH
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
LOH
4 - 2
KIC
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |