Marburg vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 4
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CFR
5 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 3
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
SVB
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
KKA
3 - 1
CFR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KKA
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
KKA
1 - 3
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
LOH
1 - 5
KKA
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
KKA
1 - 2
VFB
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |