Marburg vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
3 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
SVB
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
FSV
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESC
23%
26%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
HES
0 - 3
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 2
HES
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HES
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HES
8 - 1
VIK
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAU
1 - 2
HES
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |