Marburg vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
WOR
39%
28%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SWM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SVB
2 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SWM
1 - 2
FVB
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
FVB
0 - 1
WAL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
FVB
1 - 4
GOR
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
FVB
2 - 1
KKA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
FVB
2 - 1
VIK
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |