Marburg vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KIC
2 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
URB
4 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWM
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FSV
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
5 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
BAU
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 2
FER
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
GOR
0 - 2
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |