Marburg vs FCA Darmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 2
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SWM
1 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 4
WAL
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
HUN
42%
25%
34%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FCA Darmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 2
URB
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
DAR
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DAR
3 - 1
ESC
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
DAR
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 4
BAU
15%
20%
66%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |