Marburg vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BAU
3 - 4
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOH
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
0 - 4
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 2
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
VIK
3 - 4
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
KKA
4 - 0
BUC
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BUC
2 - 1
FUL
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
3 - 2
BUC
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 2
BUC
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |