Marburg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
KKA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
EWM
1 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 5
ERZ
23%
26%
51%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BAU
0 - 1
FSV
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 1
BAU
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAU
4 - 0
VIK
48%
23%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VEL
4 - 1
BAU
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
KKA
0 - 0
BAU
56%
24%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |