Marburg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ERZ
4 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
HUN
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BUC
5 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
BAU
2 - 3
FVB
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAU
4 - 1
VIK
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 0
BAU
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
BAU
1 - 0
BRA
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 1
BAU
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |