Marburg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
SVB
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
LOH
0 - 2
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 2
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESC
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BAU
0 - 2
SVB
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 3
BAU
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
BAU
6 - 2
FVB
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
KKA
1 - 1
BAU
51%
23%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BAU
3 - 2
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |