Marburg vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
WAL
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GOR
4 - 5
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
EIN
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESC
0 - 4
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KIC
0 - 3
BHE
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
URB
5 - 0
BHE
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BHE
1 - 3
BAU
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
BHE
1 - 2
KKA
29%
22%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
4 - 1
BHE
55%
22%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |