VfB Krieschow vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
5º
4
12º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
VFB
32%
23%
46%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 0
SVG
66%
18%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
VFB
32%
22%
47%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 1
SVA
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 2
LFC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
3 - 0
SVB
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 2
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 6
SSV
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 4
SVB
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HSC
3 - 2
SVB
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |