VfB Krieschow vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
10º
7º
16
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
VFB
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 0
SVG
66%
18%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
VFB
32%
22%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 1
SVA
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 2
LFC
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
3 - 0
SVB
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 2
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 6
SSV
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 4
SVB
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HSC
3 - 2
SVB
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |