VfB Kirchellen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Kirchellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
BOC
4 - 1
VFK
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VFK
1 - 2
ERH
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2000 |
S04
6 - 1
VFK
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
2 - 2
VFK
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
VFK
1 - 3
GUT
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
SBE
0 - 0
PAD
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
HUL
4 - 2
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
PAD
1 - 0
LSV
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
WHE
1 - 0
PAD
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
PAD
5 - 1
TSG
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |