Homberg vs Wesel-Lackhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
VFB
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 0
RHE
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DUS
0 - 1
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 0
WUP
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HNI
2 - 1
VFB
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wesel-Lackhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SFB
11 - 0
WES
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WES
2 - 1
SPE
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
RHE
2 - 0
WES
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WES
1 - 2
DUS
12%
18%
71%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
WUP
5 - 2
WES
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |