Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
VFB
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 3
KLE
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
DIE
1 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
DUS
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 0
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
WUP
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 2
SPE
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
SWE
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |