Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MSV
4 - 1
VFB
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VFB
0 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 3
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
AAA
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BER
1 - 2
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 2
SPE
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 1
BSC
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
DUR
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |