Homberg vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
S04
4 - 0
VFB
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
VFB
2 - 0
BSC
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIP
2 - 2
VFB
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ROT
3 - 1
VFB
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VFB
1 - 1
WAT
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
HOL
7%
13%
81%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
VER
2 - 0
TUS
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
VER
0 - 0
AAA
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WUP
2 - 5
VER
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
SPO
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |