Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KLE
0 - 1
VFB
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 0
FSV
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 3
VFB
14%
18%
67%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 1
GRA
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 1
VFB
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
NET
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
VEL
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 0
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VEL
4 - 0
DUS
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |