Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERN
2 - 1
VFB
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
VFB
4 - 0
WHE
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
4 - 0
VFB
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VFB
2 - 1
ABI
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
VEL
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUL
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 2
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 2
VEL
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |