Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
VFB
3 - 3
FCJ
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
KFC
0 - 0
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
6 - 1
DUS
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
1 - 0
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
VEL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
AAA
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
USO
3 - 1
VEL
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
KLE
2 - 2
VEL
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |